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As has been widely documented, sports event contracts are currently the lifeblood of the prediction market industry, but Bernstein notes that won’t be the case on a permanent basis. In fact, the research firm estimates that sports derivatives’ share of industry volume will decline to 35% in 2035, indicating that the aforementioned volume increase will be led by other categories.
The research firm estimates that by 2035, financial derivatives, including event contracts linked to commodities, cryptocurrencies and stocks, will account for 49% of turnover on yes/no exchanges, topping sports to become the largest volume driver. The research firm sees event contracts tied to key performance indicators (KPIs) leading the charge.
“We expect new products such as KPI markets, which allow users to trade a single corporate metric, such as production, deliveries, or subscriber growth, rather than the stock price itself,” observe the analysts. “Further, perp futures are expanding from crypto to commodities and single stock perps.”
About Dragon Reborn
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The Raiders’ revamped offensive line didn’t allow a single sack against Miami while opening running lanes for Jeanty. However, they face a significantly tougher test Sunday against Khalil Mack, Tuli Tuipulotu, and the Chargers’ pass rush.
On defense, Las Vegas generated five sacks in Week 1, led by Maxx Crosby and Kwity Paye—a promising matchup against a Chargers unit that struggled to protect Justin Herbert during a 26-14 loss to the Arizona Cardinals.
The Las Vegas Athletics announced a multi-year partnership with Circa Resort & Casino and Circa Sports on Thursday. The MLB franchise is set to move from Oakland ahead of the 2028 season to a new $2 billion stadium on the Las Vegas Strip.